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Vineyard & Winery Elf EN

[DRAFT] Risk Index - upcoming feature

Updated at: 2 min read

What is the Risk Index?

The Risk Index is a single chart that shows the overall threat level for your vineyard. Instead of checking frost, powdery mildew and grey mould separately, you see one number from 0 to 100%.

A high Risk Index means you need to take action. A low one means you can rest easy.

How to read the Risk Index

Value Colour What it means
0-20% Green Everything OK, routine monitoring
20-40% Yellow Stay alert, keep an eye on forecasts
40-60% Orange Elevated risk, consider taking action
60-80% Red High risk, act now!
80-100% Dark red Critical, immediate response required

What goes into the Risk Index?

The system gathers data from several sources and calculates a combined indicator:

Disease risk

  • Powdery mildew (Gubler-Thomas model)
  • Downy mildew (Goidanich/EPI model)
  • Grey mould (Broome model)

Frost risk

  • Current temperature
  • Forecast overnight lows
  • Plant growth stage (BBCH)

Other threats

  • Water stress
  • Extreme heat
  • Strong wind

What do I see on the dashboard?

The Risk Index widget shows:

  • Large number - the current level (e.g. 45%)
  • Coloured background - matches the risk level
  • Arrow - the trend (rising/falling)
  • Main driver - what has the biggest impact (e.g. “Powdery mildew: 65%”)
  • Mini chart - the last 24 hours

Where do I find the details?

Click the widget or go to Analysis > Risk Index. You will see:

  • Historical chart - how the risk has changed over time
  • Forecast - the projected Risk Index for the coming days
  • Component breakdown - how much each factor contributes

How do I set up alerts?

  1. Go to Settings > Alerts > Risk Index
  2. Set a threshold (e.g. 50%)
  3. Choose a channel (SMS/email)
  4. Save

Tip: Set the threshold at 40-50% - this gives you time to react before the situation becomes critical.

Can I customise the Risk Index?

Yes! Under Settings > Risk Index you can:

  • Disable components - e.g. if you are not concerned about frost in summer
  • Change weights - e.g. give powdery mildew a higher weight
  • Set your own thresholds for individual threats

When is the Risk Index most useful?

  • In the morning - a quick check of whether anything needs attention
  • Before the weekend - see whether you can safely go away
  • During high-risk seasons - spring (frost), summer (disease)

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